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Space Weather Update: 10/30/2016

By, 10/30/2016

A SATELLITE WITH 'SPACE BRAIN'? Astronauts aren't the only ones whosebrains are affected by cosmic rays. NOAA's Deep Space Climate Observatory (DSCOVR) has the same problem. Cosmic rays rebooting DSCOVR's main computer have caused the space weather satellite to drop offline at least five times in the past year, amounting to 42 hours of downtime. This could occasionally affect NOAA's ability to pinpoint the arrival of solar storms. Get the full story from Nature

THE AURORAS JUST WON'T STOP: Six days after Earth entered a stream of high-speed solar wind ... we're still inside. The solar wind continues to blow faster than 600 km/s on Oct. 30th. Although it is not as gusty as it was during first contact on Oct. 25th, the relentless pressure of the sun's electrically charged wind on Earth's magnetic field is causing the poles to glow with beautiful auroras. Marketa S. Murray sends this picture from Fairbanks, Alaska, on Oct. 29th:


"When you stand there and the whole sky is just dancing overhead, your adrenalineand endorphin get so high," says Murray. "It's mind blowing every time it happens. It never gets old, even for an Alaskan!"

Until Earth fully exits this stream, polar auroras remain likely. A good way to follow the action is to tune into a live webcam in Sweden's Abisko National Park. "We have seen the lights nearly every night in October!" says Chad Blakley of Lights over Lapland, who operates the camera. Watch it now.

Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery

CHINA'S NEW SPACE STATION IS SURPRISINGLY BRIGHT: China's new space station, the Tiangong 2, isn't very large. For comparison, the International Space Station is 5 times longer and almost 50 times more massive.  Nevertheless, the newly-occupied outpost in space is surprisingly easy to see.  "The Tiangong-2 with 2 taikonauts (Chinese astronauts) onboard was a spectacular sight as it passed over Fort Davis, Texas, on Oct. 23rd," reports Gary Dowdle, who took this picture using a Sony a6300 digital camera:


"The space station was brighter than a 1st magnitude star as it maneuvered between the Bear (Ursa Major) and Cat (Lynx) heading for the Heart of the Lion (Leo)," he says. "The 42% illuminated last quarter Moon was nearby in Cancer, and the station was visible in spite of the glare."

China's presence in the night sky will grow even brighter in the years ahead.  Taikonauts Jing Haipeng and Chen Dong are currently onboard the Tiangong 2conducting science experiments and rehearsing procedures for future missions: By the end of this decade, China plans to start launching modules for a much larger Mir-class space station slated for completion in the 2020s.

Monitoring developments is easy: Check Heavens Above for flybys of the Tiangong 2 over your backyard.

Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery

Realtime Airglow Photo Gallery

Realtime Sprite Photo Gallery


 All Sky Fireball Network

Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on

On Oct. 30, 2016, the network reported 23 fireballs.
(15 sporadics, 4 Orionids, 3 Northern Taurids, 1 chi Taurid)



In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]


 Near Earth Asteroids

Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.

On October 30, 2016 there were 1739 potentially hazardous asteroids.

Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:Asteroid


Miss Distance


2003 TL4

Oct 27

10.1 LD

565 m

2016 UB26

Oct 27

11.6 LD

44 m

2016 UR41

Oct 29

2.6 LD

11 m

2016 UB41

Oct 29

4.1 LD

18 m

2016 UQ5

Oct 30

13.9 LD

44 m

2016 UR36

Oct 31

1.3 LD

13 m

2016 TB57

Oct 31

5.2 LD

26 m

2016 UP36

Oct 31

5 LD

28 m

2003 YT1

Oct 31

13.5 LD

850 m

2016 UX5

Nov 2

7.1 LD

20 m

2016 TG55

Nov 4

3.8 LD

29 m

2016 UE

Nov 5

5.2 LD

39 m

2007 LS

Nov 6

33.3 LD

1.2 km

2004 KB

Nov 10

10 LD

260 m

2002 QF15

Nov 19

62.6 LD

2.2 km

2009 TB8

Nov 24

51.4 LD

1.0 km

5143 Heracles

Nov 28

57.2 LD

2.4 km

Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.

 Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere


Readers, thank you for your patience while we continue to develop this new section of We've been working to streamline our data reduction, allowing us to post results from balloon flights much more rapidly, and we have developed a new data product, shown here:


This plot displays radiation measurements not only in the stratosphere, but also at aviation altitudes. Dose rates are expessed as multiples of sea level. For instance, we see that boarding a plane that flies at 25,000 feet exposes passengers to dose rates ~10x higher than sea level. At 40,000 feet, the multiplier is closer to 50x. These measurements are made by our usual cosmic ray payload as it passes through aviation altitudes en route to the stratosphere over California.

What is this all about? Approximately once a week, and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with radiation sensors that detect cosmic rays, a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. Cosmic rays can seed cloudstrigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. Furthermore, there are studies ( #1#2#3#4) linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death in the general population. Our latest measurements show that cosmic rays are intensifying, with an increase of more than 12% since 2015:


Why are cosmic rays intensifying? The main reason is the sun. Solar storm clouds such as coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays when they pass by Earth. During Solar Maximum, CMEs are abundant and cosmic rays are held at bay. Now, however, the solar cycle is swinging toward Solar Minimum, allowing cosmic rays to return. Another reason could be the weakening of Earth's magnetic field, which helps protect us from deep-space radiation.

The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

The data points in the graph above correspond to the peak of the Reneger-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Reneger and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.


Current Conditions

Solar wind
speed: 562.0 km/sec
density: 3.6 protons/cm3

more data: ACEDSCOVR
Updated: Today at 2021 UTX-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: A9
1437 UT Oct30
24-hr: B1 0000 UT Oct30
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2000 UTDaily Sun: 30 Oct 16Sunspot AR2604 is quiet and stable. Solar flare activity remains very low. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 16
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 30 Oct 2016

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2016 total: 21 days (8%) 
2015 total: 0 days (0%) 

2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)

Updated 30 Oct 2016

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 79 sfu

explanation | more data
Updated 30 Oct 2016

Current Auroral Oval:


Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/OvationPlanetary K-index
Now: Kp= 3 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 4
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 4.6 nT
Bz: -0.5 nT south

more data: ACEDSCOVR
Updated: Today at 2021 UTCoronal Holes: 30 Oct 16
Earth is inside a stream of solar wind flowing from this wide coronal hole. Credit: NASA/SDO.Noctilucent Clouds NASA's AIM spacecraft has suffered an anomaly, and a software patch is required to fix it. As a result, noctilucent cloud images will not return until further notice. AIM science team members are optimistic that the


Switch view: Europe, USA, Asia, PolarUpdated at: 08-06-2016 16:55:02

NOAA Forecasts

Updated at: 2016 Oct 29 2200 UTC


0-24 hr

24-48 hr


01 %

01 %


01 %

01 %

Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: activeminor stormsevere stormUpdated at: 2016 Oct 29 2200 UTCMid-latitudes

0-24 hr

24-48 hr


20 %

20 %


05 %

05 %


01 %

01 %

High latitudes

0-24 hr

24-48 hr


15 %

15 %


15 %

20 %


10 %

20 %